[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 150520
SWODY2
SPC AC 150519

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1219 AM CDT MON MAY 15 2006

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
FURTHER AMPLIFICATION OF UPPER PATTERN EXPECTED THIS PERIOD...WHILE
WRN RIDGE/ERN TROUGH CONFIGURATION PERSISTS.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE ERN CONUS BENEATH
UPPER TROUGH...AND OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
WEST.  ANY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED TO A STRONGER CELL OR
TWO OVER CENTRAL/SRN FL S OF WEAK COLD FRONT. 

...CENTRAL/SRN FL...
WEAK COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LINGER/DRIFT SLOWLY SWD ACROSS FL
THIS PERIOD...WHERE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER BUT WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ARE ANTICIPATED.

WITH MID-LEVEL FLOW NEAR 50 KT...A STRONGER STORM OR TWO COULD
DEVELOP -- EITHER NEAR FRONT OR INVOF SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARIES -- WHICH
COULD PRODUCE MARGINAL HAIL OR A LOCALLY-DAMAGING GUST. 
HOWEVER...OVERALL THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED BY LACK OF FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS.

..GOSS.. 05/15/2006