[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 140518
SWODY2
SPC AC 140517

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 AM CDT SUN MAY 14 2006

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE CHANGE IN OVERALL UPPER PATTERN ANTICIPATED THIS PERIOD...AS
UPPER LOW/TROUGH PERSISTS ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS AND A
STRONG RIDGE PREVAILS OVER THE WEST.

AT THE SURFACE...FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSHING SWD ACROSS FL/THE GULF
OF MEXICO/TX...AND WWD INTO THE ROCKIES.  THIS BOUNDARY WILL SERVE
AS A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED/GENERALLY SUB-SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

...FL PENINSULA...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS PARTS OF THE FL
PENINSULA THIS PERIOD S OF WEAKENING/SWD-MOVING FRONT. THOUGH
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE GENERALLY WEAK ALONG FRONT...LOCALLY
GREATER CONVERGENCE -- PARTICULARLY INVOF SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES --
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN MODERATELY-
UNSTABLE /1000 TO 200O J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE/ AFTERNOON AIRMASS.

THOUGH AMPLE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL FLOW /40 TO 50 KT/ IS FORECAST ACROSS
THIS AREA...ROUGHLY UNIDIRECTIONAL/WLY FLOW FIELD SHOULD LIMIT
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.  NONETHELESS...SHEAR/INSTABILITY COMBINATION MAY
SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER UPDRAFTS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF
DAMAGING GUSTS OR MARGINAL HAIL.

..GOSS.. 05/14/2006