[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 130556
SWODY2
SPC AC 130555

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CDT TUE JUN 13 2006

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...

...NRN ROCKIES/NRN PLAINS...

UPPER RIDGE WILL BE SHUNTED EAST ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS DURING
THE DAY2 PERIOD AS STRONGER FLOW TRANSLATES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
INTO ERN MT...ON DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF UPPER TROUGH.  SWLY FLOW ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NRN...AND ESPECIALLY THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES...WILL GENERATE SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING ATOP MODESTLY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER.  WHILE WARM SECTOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL STRUGGLE TO
DEVELOP SOUTH OF I-70 OVER NEB...IT APPEARS STRONG HEATING IN THE
LEE OF THE NRN ROCKIES WILL WEAKEN CAP ALLOWING SFC PARCELS TO REACH
THEIR LFC.  THIS APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS MT...SEWD TO POSSIBLY NEAR
THE BLACK HILLS REGION OF WRN SD.  LATEST THINKING IS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...INITIALLY SUPERCELLULAR...WILL EVOLVE AHEAD OF SFC
LOW OVER SERN MT THEN SPREAD ENEWD TOWARD WRN ND...DEVELOPING SWD
INTO WRN SD AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. INCREASING LLJ AFTER DARK
WILL MOST LIKELY AID MCS DEVELOPMENT AS THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS SPREAD
 INTO THE NRN PLAINS.  HIGH TEMP/DEW POINT SPREADS MAY SUPPORT
DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOW ECHO-TYPE STRUCTURES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE
HAIL.

...COASTAL CAROLINAS...

ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO LIFT NEWD ALONG THE SC/NC COAST DURING THE
DAY2 PERIOD.  STRONGER SHEAR MORE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS SHOULD
HOLD JUST OFFSHORE...ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK WILL REQUIRE AT
LEAST LOW PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES NEAR THE REMNANT
CIRCULATION.

..DARROW.. 06/13/2006