[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 241700
SWODY2
SPC AC 241659

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CST TUE JAN 24 2006

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW FHU GBN 30 NNE
BLH 35 WNW EED 15 WNW LAS 40 S P38 CDC 30 NNE 4BL 30 NNE DRO 20 NNE
4SL 15 ENE ABQ 15 WSW ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE CONUS WITH DEEP TROUGH
ACROSS THE EAST SHIFTING OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST...AS ANOTHER TROUGH
MOVES RAPIDLY EWD INTO THE PACIFIC NW. CUTOFF LOW...CURRENTLY
LOCATED SOUTH OF SRN CA...IS FORECAST TO BE EJECTED NEWD ACROSS AZ
AND INTO SWRN CO...IN RESPONSE TO THE PACIFIC NW TROUGH.

...SWRN STATES...
AS UPPER LOW MOVES NEWD ACROSS AZ ON WEDNESDAY...80 KT MID LEVEL JET
MAX ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL SHIFT NWD ACROSS ERN AZ/WRN
NM AND INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. STRONG FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS FEATURE MAY RESULT IN SUFFICIENT MID LEVEL LAPSE RATE
STEEPENING/MOISTENING TO SUPPORT ISOLATED ELEVATED CONVECTION.

LAPSE RATES WILL ALSO STEEPEN UNDER THE UPPER LOW AS STRONG UVV
COOLS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES INTO THE -20 TO -25C RANGE. WITH
DIURNAL HEATING...FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC VERTICAL PROFILES SHOULD
SUPPORT SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH SOME LIGHTNING DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...FROM EXTREME SRN NV EWD INTO WRN/CENTRAL
AZ.

..IMY.. 01/24/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM