[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Wed Jan 4 05:50:56 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 040550
SWODY2
SPC AC 040549

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CST TUE JAN 03 2006

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER FLOW REGIME CONTINUES ACROSS THE EASTERN
PACIFIC.  THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO A BUILDING RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN
U.S. TODAY...AND AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH DOWNSTREAM...TO THE EAST OF
THE PLAINS...THURSDAY INTO EARLY FRIDAY.  IN ASSOCIATION WITH
EVOLVING PATTERN...A LARGE STRONG SURFACE RIDGE WILL BEGIN
DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/ROCKIES BY
12Z THURSDAY.  THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG DRYING THROUGH MUCH OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.  MODELS SUGGEST WEAK
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR NEAR/EAST OF CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS
LATE THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT.  HOWEVER...MODIFICATION OF AIR MASS
ACROSS THIS REGION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT UNTIL STRONGER FORCING ENCOUNTERS THE GULF
STREAM.  POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
NATION APPEARS VERY LOW.

..KERR.. 01/04/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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