[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 130618
SWODY2
SPC AC 130617

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 AM CST WED DEC 13 2006

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S. WILL AMPLIFY
SOMEWHAT THURSDAY AS A MID-LEVEL JET DRIFTS ESEWD INTO THE NCNTRL
STATES. AT THE SFC...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL LIKELY BE
LOCATED JUST OFF SHORE ALONG THE SRN ATLANTIC SEABOARD. MODEL
FORECASTS DEVELOP CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE BOUNDARY
ACROSS ERN GA AND ERN SC DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH CONVECTION
EXPANDING NNEWD JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THIS SCENARIO SEEMS REASONABLE DUE TO ADEQUATE LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE THAT SHOULD BE IN PLACE. HOWEVER...SHEAR SHOULD BE
RELATIVELY WEAK AND NO SEVERE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...A VIGOROUS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AS AN IMPRESSIVE 120 KT MID-LEVEL JET PUNCHES INLAND
THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF WA
AND ORE DUE TO THE STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND COLD MID-LEVEL
TEMPS.

..BROYLES.. 12/13/2006