[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Dec 11 06:29:34 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 110630
SWODY2
SPC AC 110628

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 AM CST MON DEC 11 2006

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER MS VALLEY/TN VALLEY...
A WELL-DEVELOPED UPPER-LEVEL LOW/TROUGH WILL BE LOCATED FROM THE
UPPER MIDWEST EXTENDING SSWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS AT THE BEGINNING
OF THE DAY 2 PERIOD. A THREAT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
ONGOING IN THE MORNING ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
LOCATED FROM THE LOWER OH VALLEY SSWWD TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. AS
SFC HEATING TAKES PLACE...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE WITH
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS WRN KY...WRN
TN...MS AND LA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
SHOULD BE LIMITED...DESTABILIZATION SHOULD OCCUR IN POCKETS ALONG
THE MS RIVER VALLEY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. IN
ADDITION...STRONG SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD BE ADEQUATE FOR A MARGINAL
SEVERE THREAT ESPECIALLY WHERE SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS.
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE VERY ISOLATED AND CONCENTRATED AROUND
PEAK HEATING.

ELSEWHERE...ISOLATED NON-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE
COAST OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AS AN UPPER-TROUGH MOVES INLAND
AROUND MIDDAY ON TUESDAY.

..BROYLES.. 12/11/2006








More information about the SwoDy2 mailing list