[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 311728
SWODY2
SPC AC 311727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CST SUN DEC 31 2006

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN SEABOARD/FLORIDA...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE MS VALLEY AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE ATLANTIC STATES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND SSWWD FROM THE CAROLINAS TO THE FL PANHANDLE
AND THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE QUICKLY EWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST BY
MIDDAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE ONGOING ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ESPECIALLY ACROSS SC...GA AND NRN FL EARLY IN THE DAY.
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE MAY EXPAND BY AFTERNOON AS SFC TEMPS WARM.

ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD BE RELATIVELY STRONG DUE TO THE
APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...FORECAST SOUNDINGS MONDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE REGION SHOW WEAK INSTABILITY IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.
HOWEVER...STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN THE ERN CAROLINAS DUE TO A 90 KT
MID-LEVEL JET AND STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS CNTRL FL
MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THE MAIN THREAT WOULD LIKELY BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

..BROYLES.. 12/31/2006