[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Sun Dec 10 17:29:18 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 101730
SWODY2
SPC AC 101728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CST SUN DEC 10 2006

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
FAIRLY INTENSE/MERIDIONALLY-EXTENSIVE MID-LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS THIS PERIOD...WHILE A DOWNSTREAM
INTENSIFYING RIDGE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE ERN CONUS.  MEANWHILE...A
SECOND TROUGH WILL AFFECT THE PAC NW COAST DURING THE PERIOD.

THOUGH A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR OVER THE WA COAST/OLYMPICS
REGION LATE IN THE PERIOD...POTENTIALLY MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR LATE IN THE PERIOD OVER THE S CENTRAL CONUS.  AS
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INFLUX INCREASES AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE...SUFFICIENT ELEVATED CAPE MAY EVOLVE TO ALLOW
SCATTERED/WEAK THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE
ARKLATEX REGION AND VICINITY LATE IN THE PERIOD.  ANY HAIL THREAT
WITH THESE STORMS APPEARS ATTM TO BE VERY LOW DUE TO MEAGER
INSTABILITY...AND THUS WILL NOT CARRY SEVERE PROBABILITIES THIS
FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 12/10/2006








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