[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 18 06:18:35 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 180615
SWODY2
SPC AC 180614

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2005

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN AMPLIFICATION WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS
A POSITIVE TILT UPPER TROUGH EVOLVES FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY DOWNSTREAM FROM A PRONOUNCED UPPER RIDGE BUILDING
FROM THE WEST COAST INTO WRN CANADA. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP A COLD
AND STABLE AIR MASS LOCKED IN PLACE ACROSS THE INTERIOR OF THE CNTRL
AND ERN U.S. HOWEVER...AS THE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE LOWER
MS VALLEY AND GULF COAST WITH TIME...LOW LEVEL BAROCLINICITY AND
LIFT WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. WHILE TSTM PROSPECTS MAY INCREASE IN THESE AREAS BY LATE
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...UNCERTAINTIES WITH REGARD TO DEVELOPMENT AND
LOCATION OF CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY OVER LAND AREAS REMAIN HIGH. A
THUNDER AREA WILL NOT BE INTRODUCED IN THIS OUTLOOK AT THIS TIME BUT
SOME MARGINAL POTENTIAL MAY BECOME BETTER DEFINED IN LATER
FORECASTS.

..CARBIN.. 11/18/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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