[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 190542
SWODY2
SPC AC 190541

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CST TUE JAN 18 2005

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CLM 15 E AST ONP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY MEAN TROUGH OVER
ATLANTIC COAST REGION AND RIDGE ACROSS WRN CONUS.  EXPECT CUT-OFF
LOW TO MEANDER ERRATICALLY ACROSS PACIFIC WATERS NEAR WRN
BAJA...ASSOCIATED ASCENT/MOISTURE BEING TOO FAR S INTO MEX TO YIELD
TSTM THREAT FOR BORDERLANDS.  UNFAVORABLY LOW THETAE IN
CONTINENTAL-POLAR TRAJECTORIES IN LOW LEVELS WILL PREVENT TSTM
POTENTIAL E OF ROCKIES.  SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT OVER NERN
PACIFIC INVOF 150W-155W...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE WA/NRN ORE
COASTS BETWEEN 20/18Z AND 21/00Z BASED ON LATEST ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE
AND 00Z SHORT-RANGE/DETERMINISTIC MODELS.  TROUGH THEN WILL MOVE
INLAND WA/ORE/ID AS IT PENETRATES POSITION OF LARGER SCALE RIDGE.

...PACIFIC NW...
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CB ARE LIKELY OVER PACIFIC WATERS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH MIDLEVEL THERMAL TROUGH.  AS RELATED ZONE OF DPVA
MOVES ASHORE...SO MAY SOME OF THE CB WITH POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING. 
ELEVATED MUCAPES UP TO 200 J/KG INDICATED THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN
MODEL SOUNDINGS AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEN ABOVE NEARLY SATURATED
PARCELS IN LOW LEVELS.

..EDWARDS.. 01/19/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.