[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Jan 18 05:17:18 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 180518
SWODY2
SPC AC 180517

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 PM CST MON JAN 17 2005

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
NW FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MAJORITY OF CONUS...BECAUSE OF
MEAN RIDGE JUST INLAND W COAST AND MEAN TROUGH INVOF ATLANTIC COAST.
 SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- PRESENTLY MOVING THROUGH MEAN RIDGE POSITION
OVER CANADIAN ROCKIES -- IS FCST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS PORTIONS GREAT
LAKES...CENTRAL/NRN APPALACHIAN AND MID ATLANTIC REGIONS DAY-2. 
ALTHOUGH ASSOCIATED LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL SUPPORT SOME
PRECIP...EFFECTS OF LOW-THETAE TRAJECTORIES FROM CONTINENTAL
ANTICYCLONE NOW OVER SERN CONUS WILL PREVENT ENOUGH
MOISTENING/WARMING FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT.

FARTHER SW...SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EVIDENT ATTM IN MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY AND SUBJECTIVE RAOB ANALYSES FROM 4 CORNERS AREA TO NWRN
MEX.  MAIN PORTION OF THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE DIGGING/RETROGRADING
ACROSS NWRN MEX/BAJA AND ADJACENT PACIFIC WATERS.  THIS FEATURE
SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT...WAA AND
MOISTENING ACROSS MOUNTAINS OF NWRN MEX...WHERE DIABATIC HEATING CAN
FURTHER AID CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.  HOWEVER...AIR MASS N OF MEX
BORDER SHOULD REMAIN TOO DRY TO SUPPORT GEN TSTM RISK.

..EDWARDS.. 01/18/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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