[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Fri Jan 14 17:17:30 UTC 2005


ACUS02 KWNS 141718
SWODY2
SPC AC 141717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S FMY 55 E FMY 25
W VRB 40 N MLB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
BROAD...CYCLONIC LONG WAVE TROUGH /ANCHORED BY VORTEX OVER NRN
QUEBEC/ WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE NATION THROUGH
THE DAY 2 PERIOD. SEVERAL WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ARE FORECAST TO
TRANSLATE THROUGH THIS MEAN PATTERN...ONE OF WHICH BEING BAROCLINIC
LEAF STRUCTURE /PER CURRENT WV IMAGERY/ OVER NRN BAJA CA. THIS
FEATURE WILL MOVE THROUGH NRN MEXICO/SRN TX TODAY/TONIGHT AND ACROSS
THE NRN GULF DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. 

IN THE LOW-LEVELS...PRIMARY BAROCLINIC ZONE IS EXPECTED TO BE
SITUATED OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC WITH A SWWD EXTENSION TO LOW PRESSURE
OFF THE ERN FL PENINSULA AND THEN ACROSS SRN FL. THIS SURFACE LOW
WILL DEVELOP NEWD WITH TIME...ALLOWING TRAILING PORTION OF BOUNDARY
TO TEMPORARILY SAG SEWD OFF THE FL COAST. HOWEVER...WITH APPROACH OF
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NRN GULF...BOUNDARY MAY
RETREAT NWD TO VICINITY OF S FL COAST OR POSSIBLY ONSHORE. POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED/SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL EXIST OVER S FL THROUGH
THE PERIOD OWING TO PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL WAA WITHIN MOIST/UNSTABLE
AIRMASS S OF FRONTAL ZONE.

..MEAD.. 01/14/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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