[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 231726
SWODY2
SPC AC 231725

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2005

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE MLB 30 S AGR
45 WSW FMY ...CONT... 30 S GLS 40 W POE 40 ENE SHV 50 NE PBF 25 NE
MEM 45 N HSV 50 E CHA 35 ESE AND 20 NE OGB 45 ESE CHS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN STATES...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS WILL AMPLIFY AND DIG QUICKLY SEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY
TONIGHT. THE NAM AND GFS SOLUTIONS NOW AGREE WITH CLOSING THE SYSTEM
OFF LATE TONIGHT OVER THE OZARK PLATEAU. IN RESPONSE TO THE
APPROACHING SYSTEM...A COLD FRONT WILL ORGANIZE TONIGHT IN THE SRN
PLAINS AND SWEEP EWD ACROSS THE OZARKS AND LOWER MS VALLEY SATURDAY
MORNING. MULTIPLE LINES OF STORMS MAY BE ONGOING JUST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT IN THE MORNING. STRONG SLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL ADVECT
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWD INTO LA...MS AND AL DURING THE DAY. SFC
DEWPOINTS IN NRN GULF ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 55 TO 65 F RANGE AND THIS
AIR SHOULD ADVECT AS FAR NWD AS CNTRL MS AND CNTRL AL BY EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AS SFC TEMPS WARM SATURDAY...REINTENSIFICATION
OF THE CONVECTIVE LINES OR THE INITIATION OF NEW STORMS AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT APPEARS LIKELY.

ALTHOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOW ADEQUATE
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR SEVERE CONVECTION...INSTABILITY SHOULD
BE THE LIMITING FACTOR FOR SEVERE. THE GREATEST
LIFT/INSTABILITY/SHEAR COMBINATIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN SRN MS AND
SRN AL IN THE LATE AFTERNOON WHERE SMALL HAIL AND ISOLATED STRONG
WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. DUE TO THE
BAND OF VERY STRONG ASCENT...MULTIPLE LINE SEGMENTS SHOULD REFORM OR
CONTINUE EWD ACROSS SRN AL...SWRN GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE DURING THE
EVENING. AS INSTABILITY WEAKENS OVERNIGHT...ANY MARGINAL SEVERE
THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH.

..BROYLES.. 12/23/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM