[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 140545
SWODY2
SPC AC 140544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST SAT NOV 13 2004

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 E DUG 20 SSE SVC
20 WNW ALM 40 SSW ROW 30 NE HOB 30 WNW CDS LTS 15 NNE SPS 10 SE FTW
55 W LFK 30 NNW LCH 20 SW HUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE LOWER CO VALLEY IS FORECAST
TO DIG SWD THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY 1 PERIOD...PRIOR TO SHIFTING
SLOWLY EWD ACROSS NRN MEXICO ON MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT. IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...MAIN SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OVER ERN CHIHUAHUA/WRN
COAHUILA MEXICO WITH AN ATTENDANT INVERTED TROUGH STRENGTHENING OVER
PORTIONS OF WRN TX.

...TX...
QUALITY LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL REMAIN PROBLEMATIC THIS
FORECAST OWING TO INFLUENCE OF LARGE OH VALLEY ANTICYCLONE ON GULF
OF MEXICO SURFACE TRAJECTORIES. CURRENT BUOY OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE
NRN GULF INDICATE DEWPOINTS LARGELY IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOME NWWD ADVECTION OF THIS MOISTURE WILL LIKELY OCCUR THROUGH THE
PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO INTENSIFICATION OF INVERTED TROUGH OVER WRN
TX. DESPITE THIS...IT APPEARS THAT PERSISTENT CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION
AND RESULTANT WEAK LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SLOW THE
DESTABILIZATION PROCESS. THOUGH CLUSTERS OF TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM NEAR THE INVERTED TROUGH SEWD TO THE COAST...THE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

..MEAD.. 11/14/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.