[SWODY2] SWODY2

[SWODY2 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS02 KWNS 070548
SWODY2
SPC AC 070547

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1147 PM CST SAT NOV 06 2004

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DUG FHU TUS PHX 70
NNW GBN BLH 40 NNE TRM DAG 70 SE BIH TPH ENV OGD EVW 40 S RKS 40 W
EGE GUC SAF ONM TCS DMN DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PRONOUNCED MID/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE -- NOW EVIDENT ON MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY OFFSHORE CENTRAL/SRN CA -- IS EXPECTED TO TURN NEWD
AND MOVE INLAND LATE DAY-1 OR EARLY DAY-2 PERIOD...THEN MOVE ACROSS
GREAT BASIN THROUGH DAY-2.  BROAD PLUME OF LOW LEVEL WAA AND MOIST
ADVECTION SHOULD PRECEDE THIS SYSTEM ACROSS REGION...HELPING TO
DESTABILIZE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED TSTMS IN WARM CONVEYOR.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND COOLING
WILL SPREAD OVER WRN PORTION OUTLOOK AREA IN PROXIMITY TO MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW...AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH PEAK SFC DIABATIC HEATING DURING
AFTERNOON.  THIS SHOULD FURTHER STEEPEN DEEP-LAYER LAPSE RATES AND
SUPPORT TSTMS DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING.  A FEW TSTMS MAY PRODUCE
STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL...BUT SEVERE PROBABILITIES APPEAR TOO
MARGINAL/ISOLATED FOR ANY SORT OF OUTLOOK BEYOND GEN TSTMS ATTM.

FARTHER E...EXPECT CONTINUED PRESENCE OF STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
RIDGING AND CONTINENTAL/ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF SRN
PLAINS...REINFORCED BY DAY-1 FROPA.  THIS SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT
MOISTURE RETURN E OF ROCKIES THROUGH PERIOD...AND PRECLUDE SEVERE
TSTMS.

..EDWARDS.. 11/07/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.