[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Dec 27 05:01:45 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 270501
SWODY2
SPC AC 270500

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1100 PM CST SUN DEC 26 2004

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW UKI 45 W SAC 35
ESE SJC 30 ENE PRB 15 ESE BFL 25 NNW DAG 45 ESE IGM 30 SE PRC 40 NE
PHX 55 SE PHX 65 SSW TUS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OFF THE NRN CA COAST IS FORECAST TO
EVOLVE INTO AN OPEN WAVE AS IT TRANSLATES EWD INTO CA DURING THE DAY
2 PERIOD. IN THE LOW-LEVELS...SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK
PERTURBATION EJECTING NEWD FROM MAIN UPPER SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP INTO
THE GREAT BASIN WITH PRIMARY SURFACE LOW APPROACHING THE SRN CA
COAST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY IN CONJUNCTION WITH LARGE-SCALE FORCING
DOWNSTREAM FROM MID-LEVEL TROUGH AND ATTENDANT UPPER JET STREAK WILL
LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THROUGH THE PERIOD FROM
SRN CA EWD INTO SRN AZ. DESPITE STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
INCREASING SHEAR PROFILES AHEAD OF PRIMARY SURFACE LOW OVER THE L.A.
BASIN...IT APPEARS THAT INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN QUITE LIMITED WITH
NO SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST ATTM.

..MEAD.. 12/27/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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