[SWODY2] SWODY2

SWODY2 at goshenarc.org SWODY2 at goshenarc.org
Sun Dec 26 05:49:19 UTC 2004


ACUS02 KWNS 260549
SWODY2
SPC AC 260548

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CST SAT DEC 25 2004

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW SFO 25 ESE MRY
25 E SMX 20 W LAX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
AMPLIFICATION OF UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE GULF OF AK WILL RESULT IN A
SWD MOVEMENT OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW /CURRENTLY CENTERED NEAR
46N/134W/ TO OFF THE CA COAST DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...DOWNSTREAM PATTERN WILL FLATTEN ACROSS THE ERN
TWO-THIRDS OF THE NATION AS TROUGH INITIALLY OVER THE NERN STATES
MOVES INTO THE ATLANTIC. 

IN THE LOW-LEVELS...BROAD SURFACE RIDGE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO
THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD. IN THE W...PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE CNTRL CA
COAST DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS THIS
OCCURS...ENHANCED OROGRAPHIC ASCENT IN IMMEDIATE POST-FRONTAL AIR
MASS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN SHOWERY PRECIPITATION ALONG
WINDWARD SIDE OF THE COASTAL RANGES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT
GRADUALLY STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OWING TO CLOSE PROXIMITY
OF MID-LEVEL COLD POOL MAY RESULT IN SOME WEAK INSTABILITY AND
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES.

..MEAD.. 12/26/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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