[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 200518
SWODY1
SPC AC 200515

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 PM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

WELL DEFINED UPPER LOW OVER NWRN MEXICO WILL FINALLY EJECT NEWD INTO
THE TX PANHANDLE LATE IN THE PERIOD AS STRONG SPEED MAX DEVELOPS
OVER THE SRN PLAINS REGION INTO CNTRL OK.  THIS FEATURE WILL
UNDOUBTEDLY ENHANCE LARGE SWATH OF PRECIPITATION...AND ELEVATED
CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS
REGION...INVOF THE UPPER LOW.  HOWEVER...SHALLOW NATURE OF THE
ELEVATED CONVECTION SUGGESTS LIGHTNING POTENTIAL IS QUITE LOW WITH
THIS FEATURE.

FARTHER SOUTH...LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY
ACROSS THE UPPER TX COAST INTO SRN LA AS WEAK SFC WAVE FORMS
OFFSHORE IN THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO.  HOWEVER...POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES SUGGEST WEAK INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION WILL RESULT IN
SHOWERS INCAPABLE OF GENERATING LIGHTNING.

..DARROW.. 01/20/2007