[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Jan 15 05:26:07 UTC 2007


ACUS01 KWNS 150529
SWODY1
SPC AC 150527

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 PM CST SUN JAN 14 2007

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SCNTRL-ERN TX...
CONFLUENT FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE PLAINS IN WAKE OF A PROGRESSIVE
NRN STREAM WAVE WILL HELP ACCELERATE A BAROCLINIC ZONE EWD TO THE
ERN SEABOARD...THE SERN STATES AND OFF THE WRN GULF COAST BY MONDAY
NIGHT.  A WIDESPREAD AREA OF PCPN WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT...WITH
MORE ROBUST ANA-FRONTAL TYPE CONVECTION RELEGATED TO THE WRN GULF
COASTAL AREA CLOSER TO STEEPER MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES. 
HERE...AGEOSTROPHIC RESPONSES TO SUBTLE SUB-TROPICAL IMPULSES WILL
MAINTAIN A FLOW OF HIGHER THETA-E PARCELS ATOP THE FRONTAL INVERSION
AND RESULT IN THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES SUFFICIENT FOR SPORADIC TSTMS. 
PROBABILITIES WILL BE HIGHEST PRE-18Z AND MAINLY ACROSS SCNTRL-ERN
TX.

..RACY.. 01/15/2007








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