[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Mon Jan 15 00:35:09 UTC 2007


ACUS01 KWNS 150038
SWODY1
SPC AC 150035

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST SUN JAN 14 2007

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL TX NEWD INTO THE OZARKS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS PLACE ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL SPEED
MAX MOVING ACROSS NRN MEXICO.  CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED ACROSS
CNTRL/NCNTRL TX WITH INCREASING PCPN RATES AS THIS IMPULSE
TRANSLATES NEWD.  PRIMARY SUB-TROPICAL MOIST PLUME HAS SHIFTED
EWD...ARCING FROM THE UPPER TX COAST NEWD ACROSS CNTRL-NERN TX TO
THE LWR OH VLY.  00Z MAF/DRT/CRP/OUN SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT DRY AIR HAS
ADVECTED EWD IN THE H85-H5 LAYER WITH SHV RAOB EXHIBITING MUCH MORE
SUBSTANTIAL PWATS.  PRIND ANAFRONTAL CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...STRONGEST OF WHICH SHOULD MOVE FROM
CNTRL/NCNTRL TX EARLY THIS EVE INTO THE OZARKS LATER TONIGHT. 
SUFFICIENT ELEVATED CAPE EXISTS IN THIS CORRIDOR TO SUPPORT SPORADIC
LIGHTNING/TSTMS MAINLY BEFORE 06Z AND ESPECIALLY ACROSS NCNTRL/NERN
TX INTO SWRN AR.

..RACY.. 01/15/2007








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