[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Jan 14 19:47:52 UTC 2007


ACUS01 KWNS 141950
SWODY1
SPC AC 141948

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CST SUN JAN 14 2007

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
POSITIVELY-TILTED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ROCKIES WILL CONTINUE MOVING
 EWD...WHILE SURFACE COLD FRONT PRESSES SWD ACROSS THE S CENTRAL
CONUS AS SURFACE WAVE SHIFTS NEWD TOWARD THE OH VALLEY.  WARM
ADVECTION ABOVE THIS BOUNDARY WILL YIELD A CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS TX WHERE
MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL PERSIST.

...PARTS OF OK/AR/ERN HALF OF TX/LA...
LIGHTNING COVERAGE CONTINUES TO WANE ATTM...AS AREA OF ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION -- APPARENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH SUBTLE VORT MAX EVIDENT
IN IR IMAGERY MOVING NEWD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX -- SHIFTS NEWD. 
THOUGH OVERALL THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN LOW...SOME 
CONVECTIVE INCREASE MAY OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL/S TX THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD...AS UPPER WAVE -- NOW MOVING ACROSS NWRN MEXICO TOWARD
THE TX BIG BEND -- CONTINUES ENEWD.

..GOSS.. 01/14/2007








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