[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 070054
SWODY1
SPC AC 070051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CST SAT JAN 06 2007

VALID 070100Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING GREAT PLAINS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WITH SWLY FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN AND ERN
UNITED STATES. AS A GREAT PLAINS UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS
TONIGHT...A 40-50 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP IN CNTRL MS. IN
RESPONSE...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT LOCATED IN SRN MS AND CNTRL AL
WILL LIFT NWD AS A WARM FRONT INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE REGION. THE STRONG ISENTROPIC ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET AND INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
SHOULD HELP INITIATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT. DUE TO AN
INVERSION NEAR THE SFC...THE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED.
ALTHOUGH SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE STRONG...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
VERY LITTLE INSTABILITY WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 01/07/2007