[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Jan 19 16:02:47 UTC 2007


ACUS01 KWNS 191605
SWODY1
SPC AC 191602

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1002 AM CST FRI JAN 19 2007

VALID 191630Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

COLD CUT-OFF LOW CURRENTLY OVER NRN BAJA EXPECTED TO SHOW A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN EWD MOTION AS HEIGHT FALLS MOVE INTO PAC NW. INCREASING
MOISTURE IN STRONG SLY FLOW AHEAD OF LOW CENTER IS SPREADING N/NE
INTO SRN AZ/NM.  THE INSTABILITY SUFFICIENT FOR A THUNDER THREAT
CURRENTLY LOCATED IN MEXICO WITH AND JUST TO E OF UPPER LOW.

WITH THE COLD CORE LOW TRACKING ACROSS SERN CORNER OF AZ TONIGHT...A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EMBEDDED BOTH WITHIN THE PLUME OF
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE LOW AND THE STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH THE LOW
TONIGHT.

..HALES.. 01/19/2007








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