[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 081234
SWODY1
SPC AC 081232

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0632 AM CST MON JAN 08 2007

VALID 081300Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

PROGRESSIVE LARGE SCALE TROUGH ERN U.S. WITH BROAD RIDGE OVER THE W.
VIGOROUS S/WV TROUGH WITH ASSOCIATED STRONG WIND FIELDS CURRENTLY
CROSSING APPALACHIANS WITH DEEPENING SURFACE LOW HEADING NEWD ACROSS
SERN CANADA. COLD FRONT FROM SURFACE LOW SWWD E OF APPALACHIANS TO
NRN FL WILL PUSH OFFSHORE BY MID DAY.

THE VERY MOIST SWLY FLOW PRECEEDING FRONT CONTAINS VERY LITTLE
INSTABILITY GIVEN LAPSE RATES LESS THAN 6 C/KM.  BAND OF LOW TOPPED
CONVECTION PRECEEDING FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE BY MID MORNING
ESSENTIALLY ENDING ANY SEVERE THREAT.  GIVEN THE STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR THERE IS STILL A CHANCE OF A BRIEF SEVERE WIND GUST...ISOLATED
TORNADO UNTIL THIS ACTIVITY MOVES OFFSHORE. REF MCD 0038.

EXAMINING 12Z FLORIDA SOUNDINGS...LAPSE RATES AGAIN ARE WEAK AND
THERE IS LITTLE SUPPORT FOR MORE THAN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES AS
FRONTAL BAND MOVES SEWD ACROSS PENINSULA TODAY.

..HALES.. 01/08/2007