[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 200205
SWODY1
SPC AC 200203

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0803 PM CST MON FEB 19 2007

VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...AZ/NM...

SCATTERED TSTMS ARE IN PROGRESS OVER PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN AZ IN
ADVANCE OF MID-LEVEL VORTICITY MAXIMUM OVER THE LOWER CO VALLEY. 
AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO BE WELL SAMPLED BY 20/00Z TUS
SOUNDING WHICH EXHIBITED A RATHER DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
THROUGH 700 MB AND SBCAPES OF 150-170 J/KG.  SHORT TERM RUC/NAM
DIAGNOSTIC FIELDS SUGGEST THAT LARGE-SCALE FORCING WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY STRONG AHEAD OF VORTICITY MAXIMUM TONIGHT...LIKELY
SUPPORTING A CONTINUATION OF AT LEAST ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY THROUGH
20/03-04Z.

THEREAFTER...ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING WILL RESULT IN DECREASING
LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY...WITH ASSOCIATED THUNDER THREAT
DIMINISHING.

..MEAD.. 02/20/2007