[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Sep 19 15:51:54 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 191552
SWODY1
SPC AC 191551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1051 AM CDT TUE SEP 19 2006

VALID 191630Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE OH/TN
VALLEYS AND TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS
AND SOUTHEAST STATES.  AMPLE MOISTURE AND POCKETS OF DAYTIME HEATING
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF FRONT.  CLUSTER OF STORMS REMAINS SEMI-ORGANIZED ACROSS THE
FL PANHANDLE INTO FAR SRN GA LATE THIS MORNING.  HOWEVER...WEAK FLOW
THROUGHOUT THE TROPOSPHERE AND WEAK LAPSE RATES/WARM TEMPERATURES
ALOFT ARE EXPECTED TO MINIMIZE OVERALL SEVERITY OF THIS CONVECTION. 
ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS FROM INTO NRN FL/SRN
GA THIS AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY ALONG THE FRONT INTO THE COASTAL
CAROLINAS...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

..EVANS/GUYER.. 09/19/2006








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