[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Sep 19 12:25:13 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 191226
SWODY1
SPC AC 191224

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0724 AM CDT TUE SEP 19 2006

VALID 191300Z - 201200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE OH/TN
VALLEYS AND TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS FORECAST PERIOD. 
MEANWHILE...SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE CAROLINAS
AND SOUTHEAST STATES.  AMPLE MOISTURE AND POCKETS OF DAYTIME HEATING
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF FRONT.  HOWEVER...WEAK LAPSE RATES...WARM TEMPERATURES
ALOFT...AND WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO MINIMIZE
INTENSITY OF CONVECTION.  ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY
WINDS FROM NC INTO FL THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

..HART/GRAMS.. 09/19/2006








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