[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 220543
SWODY1
SPC AC 220541

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1241 AM CDT SUN OCT 22 2006

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND ERN CONUS THIS PERIOD...ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE/STRONG
CYCLONIC JET STREAK.  AT THE SURFACE...ASSOCIATED BAROCLINIC ZONE
WILL CONTINUE SURGING SEWD INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND EWD ACROSS
THE APPALACHIANS TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH THE DAY.  BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD...THE FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM WELL OFF THE
ATLANTIC COAST SWWD ACROSS CENTRAL FL AND INTO THE SRN GULF OF
MEXICO.  

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD OVER THE SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...AND ISOLATED
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP NWD ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT DURING THE DAY.  HOWEVER...LACK OF INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THAT
STORMS SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY WEAK.  BEST CHANCE FOR A STRONGER
STORM WILL LIKELY EXIST OVER SRN GA/NRN FL...BUT ATTM ANY SEVERE
POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT THE INCLUSION OF A THREAT AREA.

..GOSS/TAYLOR.. 10/22/2006