[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 081629
SWODY1
SPC AC 081627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1027 AM CST WED NOV 08 2006

VALID 081630Z - 091200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
COMPACT UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES...WITH
WEAK TROUGH EXTENDING NWD INTO THE NERN U.S. BEHIND THIS
SYSTEM...UPPER RIDGE WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS
PROVIDING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS. TO THE W...BROAD UPPER TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NW/NRN ROCKIES AS
VORTICITY CENTER MOVES ASHORE LATER TODAY INTO WA/ORE. FINALLY...A
LOW AMPLITUDE BUT POTENT UPPER TROUGH WILL SKIRT ALONG THE
U.S./CANADA BORDER BRINGING A SLIM CHANCE OF A THUNDERSHOWER FROM
NRN MN INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES.

...MID ATLANTIC REGION...
VERY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES EXIST WITHIN UPPER LOW
CENTER...WITH -21.1 C AT FFC THIS MORNING AT 500 MB. POCKETS OF
SURFACE HEATING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS MAY ALLOW FOR ENOUGH CONVECTIVE
INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AS MAIN SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS TO THE NE.

...PACIFIC NW...
VERY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT/STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL EXIST AS STRONG 
TROUGH ENTERS THE REGION. SHORELINE CONVERGENCE WITH WEAK SURFACE
TROUGH COMBINED WITH HEIGHT FALLS/COOLING ALOFT WILL SUPPORT
SCATTERED STORMS OVER THE OCEAN AND LIKELY INLAND TO THE W SLOPES OF
THE CASCADES.

..JEWELL/MCCARTHY.. 11/08/2006