[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 24 16:16:10 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 241618
SWODY1
SPC AC 241616

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1016 AM CST FRI NOV 24 2006

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION...
NO THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY WITH LITTLE OR NO AVAILABLE
INSTABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

A RIDGE ACROSS THE ERN CONUS AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS THERE VERY DRY. MEAGER MOISTURE RETURN WILL OCCUR INTO TX
AROUND WRN EDGE OF THIS HIGH...AHEAD OF WEAK SRN STREAM TROUGH
ACROSS THE WEST. RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT EXIST WITH THIS
TROUGH ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST...HOWEVER...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
WILL REMAIN LOW AND GENERALLY UNDER 0.33 IN.  FARTHER N...A STRONGER
NRN STREAM JET AND TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR STEEP
LAPSE RATES...BUT INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN LOW HERE AS WELL WITH ONLY
A VERY LOW PROBABILITY OF A LIGHTNING STRIKE COASTAL WA.

..JEWELL/HALES.. 11/24/2006








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