[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Tue May 9 01:09:47 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 090107
SWODY1
SPC AC 090106

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0806 PM CDT MON MAY 08 2006

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDDLE MO VALLEY SWWD
INTO OK/NWRN AR...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION...

...MID MO VALLEY SWWWD INTO KS/NRN OK/ERN MO/NWRN AR...
LINE OF STORMS HAS EVOLVED FROM ERN NEB SWWD INTO SWRN KS...WITH
EMBEDDED LEWP/BOW-TYPE STRUCTURES.  STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE/INCREASE
OVERNIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS...AND SPREAD ESEWD INTO WRN
MO/NRN OK/NWRN AR.  THOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD IS NOT OVERLY
STRONG...SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR A CONTINUATION OF ORGANIZED STORMS
AND A THREAT FOR MAINLY HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD.

...CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...
THUNDERSTORMS -- INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS -- HAVE INCREASED
RECENTLY ACROSS ERN LA/SRN MS/SRN AL WITHIN MOIST/MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS.  EVENING LIX /SLIDELL LA/ RAOB INDICATED 60 KT
WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW...CONTRIBUTING TO DEEP-LAYER SHEAR VERY
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS.  EXPECT POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS -- AND ISOLATED TORNADOES -- THROUGH THIS
EVENING...THOUGH SEVERE THREAT SHOULD EXHIBIT A DIURNALLY-DRIVEN
DECREASE LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

..GOSS.. 05/09/2006








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