[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Wed May 24 20:06:21 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 242002
SWODY1
SPC AC 242001

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0301 PM CDT WED MAY 24 2006

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN WI/ERN
IA/NWRN IL/NERN MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER MS
VALLEY INTO THE OZARKS...

...OZARKS INTO THE MID AND UPPER MO VALLEY...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WRN WI/CENTRAL AND NRN IL
AND INTO PARTS OF MO AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...WHERE AIRMASS HAS BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE.  AS UPPER LOW NOW OVER ERN ND MOVES SLOWLY
SEWD...EXPECT SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET TO INCREASE BENEATH MODERATE WNWLY
FLOW AT MID-LEVELS.  RESULTING SHEAR WILL THUS CONTINUE TO FAVOR
SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS ACROSS THIS REGION.  

ALONG WITH THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY AS STORM COVERAGE INCREASES.  CONVECTION MAY
EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE SEVERE MCS LATER THIS EVENING...THOUGH EWD
EXTENT OF THREAT INTO INDIANA SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO
COOLER/MORE STABLE AIRMASS E OF NNW-ESE WARM FRONT NOW OVER WI/IL.

...NRN FL/FL PANHANDLE...
A COUPLE OF PULSE-TYPE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINAL HAIL OR
BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN
MOIST/MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS INDICATED INVOF SEA-BREEZE
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE/NRN FL.  THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
RAPIDLY THIS EVENING.

..GOSS.. 05/24/2006








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