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[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 261629
SWODY1
SPC AC 261628

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CST SUN MAR 26 2006

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST WILL BE COMPACT BUT INTENSE UPPER LOW
MOVING OUT OF WY/CO INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS OVERNIGHT. DURING THE
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE CANNOT BE RULED
OUT ACROSS ERN WY AND NRN CO NEAR THE FRONT AND GIVEN VERY COLD
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WITH OROGRAPHIC UPSLOPE. IT IS NOT UNTIL THIS
EVENING THAT THERE WILL BE MORE SIGNIFICANT COVERAGE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF
KS/WRN MO/NRN OK.

THE FRONT WILL MOVE EWD FROM WRN NEB/KS AT 00Z INTO WRN MO/CNTRL OK
BY 12Z MON. AS THE UPPER LOW/SHORTWAVE MOVES E...LOW LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN AND BRING MOISTURE NWD INTO THE FRONTAL ZONE...WHERE
MARGINAL ELEVATED CAPE WILL BE PRESENT. THUS...A BAND OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY AFTER 00Z. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN TOO LOW
FOR ANY SEVERE THREAT...ALTHOUGH GUSTY WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH
COLD FRONT PASSAGE.

..JEWELL.. 03/26/2006