[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 140104
SWODY1
SPC AC 140102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT TUE JUN 13 2006

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ID/WRN MT AND VICINITY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WRN SD...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ALONG THE SERN U.S. COAST...

...ID/WRN MT AND VICINITY...
STRONG /AROUND 70 KT/ SSWLY MID-LEVEL JET STREAK CONTINUES SPREADING
ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH.  DEGREE OF SHEAR
HAS SUPPORTED ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS...WITH THREAT LIKELY TO
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST OVER NWRN MT...WHERE NUMEROUS
STORMS ARE ONGOING WITHIN MODERATELY-UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.  ALONG
WITH THREAT FOR HAIL...LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.


EWD EXTENT OF THREAT INTO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF MT WILL LIKELY BE
HINDERED BY A CAPPED BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT SOME ENEWD EXPANSION OF
CONVECTION --ACROSS ERN ID/NWRN WY AND INTO W CENTRAL MT -- IS
ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT.

...WRN SD...
AN ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES ATTM OVER SWRN SD...WITH
MORE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT STILL HINDERED BY CAPPING INVERSION. 
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE MAY EXPAND SOMEWHAT OVERNIGHT AS LOW-LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS...WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND AMPLE SHEAR SUGGESTING A
THREAT FOR MAINLY HAIL WITH ANY ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT.  

...NERN FL NNEWD TO PARTS OF SRN AND ERN NC...
A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES CONTINUES WITHIN CIRCULATION OF
ALBERTO -- PARTICULARLY FROM PARTS OF SERN GA NNEWD ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST.  THREAT SHOULD SPREAD AS FAR N AS SRN NC LATE...AS
ALBERTO CONTINUES MOVING NNEWD.

...MIDDLE TX COAST...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE AHEAD OF SWD-MOVING VORT MAX NOW OVER E
CENTRAL TX...WITHIN AREA OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND MARGINAL SHEAR.
 THOUGH SEVERE THREAT WILL DIMINISH WITH TIME THIS EVENING...A LOCAL
SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.

..GOSS.. 06/14/2006