[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 240107
SWODY1
SPC AC 240105

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CDT SUN JUL 23 2006

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NRN MN/NWRN WI...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE ERN CAROLINAS/E
CENTRAL GA...

...NRN MN/NWRN WI...
STRONG STORMS CONTINUE MOVING SEWD INTO NWRN WI ATTM...ROUGHLY ALONG
WARM FRONT.  HOWEVER...AIRMASS BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE WITH SWD
EXTENT ACROSS WI...SO THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS SHOULD WEAKEN. 
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS NRN MN...WHERE
AMPLE INSTABILITY AND MODERATE NWLY FLOW EXISTS. 
HOWEVER...CONDITIONAL SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS REGION SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES.

...ERN CAROLINAS/E CENTRAL GA...
LIMITED SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THIS REGION...AS
MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT PERSISTS AHEAD OF FRONT.  THOUGH SHEAR
REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS...STRONGEST CONVECTION HAS
REACHED THE NC COAST...AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING OFFSHORE.  REMAINING
THREAT SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

...CO/THE SOUTHWEST...
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING ONCE AGAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE
WEST -- WITHIN LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION.  STORMS REMAIN
GENERALLY LIMITED IN INTENSITY...DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY/WARM
TEMPERATURES ALOFT.  THOUGH A STRONGER STORM OR TWO MAY PRODUCE
LOCALLY-GUSTY WINDS OR MARGINAL HAIL...THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE THROUGH LATE EVENING.

..GOSS.. 07/24/2006