[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 230111
SWODY1
SPC AC 230110

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0810 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2006

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE
CAROLINAS...

...SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CAROLINAS...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ALONG COLD FRONT FROM SRN NEW ENGLAND SWWD
INTO GA AND THEN WSWWD INTO W TX.  THOUGH A LIMITED/LOCAL SEVERE
THREAT EXISTS ALONG THIS ENTIRE AREA...GREATEST THREAT EXISTS FROM
SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO THE CAROLINAS WHERE MODERATE SWLY FLOW AT MID
LEVELS IS INDICATED ALONG ERN PERIPHERY OF UPPER TROUGH.  THOUGH
THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE WITH TIME AS DIURNAL
STABILIZATION CONTINUES...LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR MARGINAL
HAIL -- AND PERHAPS EVEN AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO -- MAY STILL
OCCUR WITH A FEW STRONGER STORMS/STORM CLUSTERS.

...THE SOUTHWEST/GREAT BASIN...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FROM CO/NM ACROSS PARTS OF AZ AND
UT INTO NV/CA/ORE/SRN ID -- ALL WITHIN LARGE-SCALE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW
AROUND RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT BASIN.  STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS -- AS SEVERAL VORTICITY MAXIMA CONTINUE
ROTATING AROUND THE RIDGE.  THOUGH WEAK FLOW AND MARGINAL
INSTABILITY IN MOST AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE SEVERE
THREAT...A LOCALLY-DAMAGING GUST OR MARGINAL HAIL EVENT MAY OCCUR
WITH A COUPLE OF THE STRONGEST STORMS.

...SRN UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE A GENERAL DIURNAL DECREASE ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST/SRN UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION ATTM.  THOUGH A FEW MARGINAL
SEVERE EVENTS MAY OCCUR IN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS...THREAT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO WANE WITH TIME.

..GOSS.. 07/23/2006