[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Jan 31 16:16:14 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 311613
SWODY1
SPC AC 311611

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CST TUE JAN 31 2006

VALID 311630Z - 011200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN OVER CONUS WITH VIGOROUS DISTURBANCES
MOVING RAPIDLY EWD.  STRONG TROUGH NOW EXITING E COAST TAKING THE
EARLIER THUNDER THREAT WITH IT.  UPSTREAM S/WV OVER SWRN U.S. WILL
BE MOVING INTO SWRN TX BY 12Z WED.

SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP W TX TONIGHT WITH RETURN FLOW COMMENCING
FROM WRN GULF. DEWPOINTS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT S TX WITH 60S F
LIKELY MOVING ONSHORE BY WED AM.  ANY INSTABILITY THAT DEVELOPS
AHEAD OF TROUGH TONIGHT EXPECTED TO BE INSUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT GIVEN EXPECTED STRONG CAP.

MOIST...ONSHORE FLOW OF MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS SPREADS INLAND 
TONIGHT PAC NW COAST.  THERE COULD BE ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES
NEAR THE COAST BUT COVERAGE NOT EXPECTED TO SUFFICIENT FOR A GENERAL
THUNDER FORECAST.

..HALES.. 01/31/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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