[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Jan 25 12:57:46 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 251256
SWODY1
SPC AC 251255

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 AM CST WED JAN 25 2006

VALID 251300Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 WSW TUS 10 S GBN
55 ESE BLH 30 W BLH 45 NE TRM 55 W EED 10 SSE LAS 25 S CDC 30 ENE
BCE 30 ESE 4HV 20 SE GUC 40 NE ALS 45 WSW RTN 40 NNW ALM 15 SW ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
FLOW IS BECOMING MORE PROGRESSIVE IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS ACROSS
THE ERN PAC AND A BREAKDOWN OF THE TEMPORARY REX BLOCK FROM THE PAST
FEW DAYS.  THE DEEP MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER NEW ENGLAND AND THE MID
ATLANTIC WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THROUGH TOMORROW AS SHORTWAVE RIDGING
DEVELOPS EWD FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE PLAINS.  THE CLOSED MID LEVEL
LOW NEAR THE SRN CA COAST IS BEGINNING TO EVOLVE INTO MORE OF AN
OPEN WAVE...AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE AS THE TROUGH EJECTS NEWD
TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS.

...AZ AREA...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED NEAR THE MID LEVEL LOW CENTER
S OF SAN DIEGO...AND INVOF SE AZ WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT.  THE
12Z TUS SOUNDING REVEALED WEAK INSTABILITY BASED NEAR 700 MB...AND
THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SPREAD NWD/NWWD THROUGH THE DAY.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE INTO EARLY TONIGHT ALONG THE PATH OF
THE EJECTING MID LEVEL WAVE...WITH THE RELATIVELY GREATER TSTM
PROBABILITIES EXPECTED ACROSS SE AZ TODAY AND INVOF THE RIM THIS
AFTERNOON.

..THOMPSON.. 01/25/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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