[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Jan 15 19:46:32 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 151946
SWODY1
SPC AC 151945

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2006

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE LVS 30 SE TCS
30 ESE SAD 30 ENE BLH 45 SSW LAS 65 WNW P38 35 WNW U24 50 NW PUC VEL
10 NW EGE 35 WNW TAD 55 SSE LVS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY INTO 4-CORNERS REGION...

AFTERNOON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS VORTICITY MAXIMUM DIGGING SEWD
OVER CNTRL/SRN NV WITH ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL COLD POOL /I.E. -28 TO
-32 C AT 500 MB/ SPREADING FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO LOWER CO RIVER
VALLEY.  THIS MID-LEVEL COOLING COUPLED WITH DAYTIME HEATING HAVE
CONTRIBUTED TO STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS 
REGION WHICH IS SUPPORTING A DEEPENING CUMULUS FIELD OVER SWRN UT
INTO NWRN AZ.  

CONTINUED HEATING/DESTABILIZATION ALONG WITH INCREASED LARGE-SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT MAY SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP...MOIST
CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SAME GENERAL AREA.  ADDITIONAL
ISOLATED TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
OVER SWRN CO INTO NM IN ADVANCE OF MAIN UPPER SYSTEM PROGRESSING
SEWD ACROSS REGION.

..MEAD.. 01/15/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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