[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sat Feb 18 05:51:32 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 180549
SWODY1
SPC AC 180547

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1147 PM CST FRI FEB 17 2006

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
FAST ZONAL FLOW WILL COVER THE SRN HALF OF THE NATION THIS FORECAST
PERIOD BETWEEN WEST COAST/NRN GREAT BASIN TROUGH AND BROAD
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ACROSS THE SRN GULF OF MEXICO/BAY OF CAMPECHE.
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE POSITIVE TILT WRN TROUGH...FROM THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS EWD TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...DEEP LAYER NLY FLOW EMANATING
FROM THE POLAR REGIONS MERGES WITH ZONAL AIR STREAM TO MAINTAIN 
STRONG MID LEVEL CONFLUENCE AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE FROM THE
PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST.

...CA COAST...
CONVECTIVE SHOWERS SHOULD INCREASE WITHIN TROUGH AXIS...AND NEAR MID
LEVEL COLD POOL...DRIFTING SEWD ACROSS CA AND NV LATER TODAY.
HOWEVER...COOL AND RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LIMIT BUOYANCY
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. MARINE LAYER MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SLIGHTLY
GREATER POTENTIAL INSTABILITY NEAR THE CNTRL CA COAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS A SMALL SCALE PERTURBATION ROTATES THROUGH THE BASE OF
THE LARGER SCALE TROUGH FROM SFO SWD. ONLY A COUPLE OF ISOLATED CG
LIGHTNING STRIKES OCCURRED DURING A SIMILAR SCENARIO ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND A GENERAL TSTM FORECAST AREA DOES NOT APPEAR WARRANTED
FOR TODAY.

..CARBIN.. 02/18/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM







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