[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Dec 10 05:21:01 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 100522
SWODY1
SPC AC 100519

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 PM CST SAT DEC 09 2006

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL CA...
THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ASHORE CNTRL/NRN CA EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING WILL QUICKLY TRANSLATE EWD INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN
WEST BY MID-DAY.  H5 TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-MINUS 20S ATOP A PLUME
OF MODEST PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR EARLY DAY
TSTMS IN THE BAY AREA AND PARTS OF THE CNTRL VLY.  THE TSTM
PROBABILITY WILL DECREASE DURING THE AFTN AS WARMING
ALOFT/REBOUNDING HEIGHTS OCCUR IN WAKE OF THE WAVE.  

...GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS REGION...
THE MID-LEVEL WAVE MOVING INTO CNTRL/NRN CA WILL ARRIVE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN AND FOUR-CORNERS REGION BY SUNDAY AFTN.  STEEPENING
MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES AND MODEST LARGE SCALE ASCENT MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD LIGHTNING STRIKES FROM CNTRL/SRN UT AND NRN AZ
EWD INTO SWRN CO...PRIMARILY BETWEEN 15-03Z.

..RACY.. 12/10/2006








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