[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 021255
SWODY1
SPC AC 021253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 AM CST SAT DEC 02 2006

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
BROAD...SLOWLY PROGRESSIVE POSITIVE TILT UPR TROUGH WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD. TWO IMPULSES IN WEAK SPLIT OVER THE
WRN STATES AND SW CANADA ARE EXPECTED TO PHASE OVER THE CNTRL/SRN
PLNS LATER IN THE PERIOD...LEADING TO SLIGHT RIDGING OVER S FL AND
THE WRN ATLANTIC.

TRAILING FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM THAT EXITED THE NERN U.S. LATE
YESTERDAY SHOULD BECOME STATIONARY OVER CNTRL FL LATER TODAY/
TONIGHT.  WEAK WARM ADVECTION WILL DEVELOP N OF THIS BOUNDARY ACROSS
N FL/GA AND SC EARLY SUNDAY AS PHASING TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER THE
PLNS.  WARM LAYER BETWEEN 700 AND 500 MB SUGGESTS THAT ANY
ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN TOO SHALLOW FOR CHARGE
SEPARATION/THUNDER.  ISOLATED STORMS MAY...HOWEVER...OCCUR
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS INVOF THE FRONT...
FROM OFF THE NC/SC CST SW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.

IN THE NRN STREAM...A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO MAY OCCUR THIS EVENING
NEAR THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA OF MI AS VERY COLD AIR ALOFT AND WEAK
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FIELD ACCOMPANY SLOW MOVING UPR VORT NOW OVER
NRN MN.

..CORFIDI/PETERS.. 12/02/2006