[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 031927
SWODY1
SPC AC 031925

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 PM CST SUN DEC 03 2006

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

UPPER TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY TONIGHT AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ERN STATES.
WEAK CYCLOGENESIS WAS OCCURRING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST ALONG AN OLD
FRONT. THIS LOW WILL TRACK OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER
TONIGHT.  

MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL INCREASE WITHIN NWRN PARTS OF THE
DEVELOPING CYCLONE ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NC TONIGHT RESULTING IN
AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION.  ISOLD LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WEAK
ELEVATED UPRIGHT AND SLANTWISE CAPE DEVELOP COINCIDENT WITH THE
DEFORMATION BAND.  COVERAGE OVER LAND AREAS WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN
10 PERCENT WITH HIGHER TSTM PROBABILITIES IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS.

..RACY.. 12/03/2006