[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 040040
SWODY1
SPC AC 040039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT THU AUG 03 2006

VALID 040100Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...STATIONARY FRONT FROM SRN PLAINS TO LONG ISLAND SOUND...
A NARROW BUT EXTENSIVE AXIS OF PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH NEARLY STALLED FRONTAL ZONE...COUPLED WITH REGIONS
OF MODEST TO STRONG INSTABILITY...WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SCATTERED
STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS TONIGHT. POCKETS OF ACTIVITY PERSIST
FROM THE TX/OK PNHDLS EWD AND NEWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...AND FROM
LAKE ERIE ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL PA. GENERALLY WEAK LARGE SCALE
SUPPORT FOR UPWARD MOTION...LIMITED DEEP LAYER SHEAR...AND GRADUAL
BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION WITH LOSS OF INSOLATION ALL POINT
TOWARD A DIMINISHING RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER. THEREFORE...ONLY A LOW
PROBABILITY FOR DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE MAINTAINED ALONG THE FRONTAL
ZONE FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT.

..CARBIN.. 08/04/2006