[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 081224
SWODY1
SPC AC 081223

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0723 AM CDT SAT APR 08 2006

VALID 081300Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST
STATES...

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MID MS
VALLEY.  THIS FEATURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD TODAY THROUGH THE TN
VALLEY...WHILE SURFACE COLD FRONT SWEEPS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST.
 OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LESS THAN YESTERDAY. 
HOWEVER...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES.

...AL/GA/SC/NC/VA/FL...
BAND OF STRONG CONVECTION CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL AL...ACROSS
CENTRAL GA...INTO CENTRAL NC.  VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS
THAT POCKETS OF DAYTIME HEATING WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF
LINE...RESULTING IN LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
1000-1500 J/KG.  THIS WILL AID IN THE RE-INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS
BEFORE NOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST VA...EASTERN CAROLINAS...AND SOUTHERN
GA/AL. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT. 
STRONG DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THIS REGION
PROMOTING POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS AND PERHAPS TORNADOES. 
ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN FL DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING.

ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST
TODAY.

..HART/GUYER.. 04/08/2006