[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Oct 28 19:40:05 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 281938
SWODY1
SPC AC 281937

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0237 PM CDT FRI OCT 28 2005

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE DUG 45 WNW SAD
35 SSE PRC 40 E LAS 45 SE TPH 25 SE U31 15 SSE EKO 15 S BYI 10 WSW
LND 30 SW CPR 30 S LAR 25 SSE TAD 25 W CNM 65 W MRF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW BLI 40 E AST 35
WSW ONP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. MAIN CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL REMAIN
OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND VICINITY...AS SMALLER-SCALE
TROUGH/VORT MAX CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST/SRN ROCKIES.

ELSEWHERE...LARGE RIDGE ALOFT WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL
CONUS...WHILE UPPER TROUGH/LOW CONTINUES MOVING EWD OVER THE ERN
CONUS.

...THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...
MARGINAL AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION JUST AHEAD OF UPPER VORT MAX MOVING
INTO THIS REGION HAS SUPPORTED THE DEVELOPMENT A FEW DEEPER
CONVECTIVE CELLS AND ASSOCIATED LIGHTING STRIKES OVER THE PAST HOUR
OR SO. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD...THOUGH CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN
WEAK. 

...PAC NW...
ONSHORE FLOW AND COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT /INVOF -26 C/ MAY CONTINUE
TO SUPPORT A FEW INLAND LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN ONGOING AREA OF
SHOWERS ACROSS THIS REGION.

..GOSS.. 10/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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