[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 22 20:27:13 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 221951
SWODY1
SPC AC 221949

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 PM CST TUE NOV 22 2005

VALID 222000Z - 231200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE BID 15 WNW PSM
60 NNW AUG 60 NW CAR.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THIS PERIOD...FEATURING
A LARGE TROUGH OVER THE ERN CONUS.  THOUGH STABLE CONTINENTAL
AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY PRECLUDING ANY
THREAT FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION...ELEVATED NEUTRAL TO
MINIMALLY-UNSTABLE LAYER ACROSS PARTS OF NEW ENGLAND MAY SUPPORT A
FEW STRIKES EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGER PRECIPITATION AREA. 

...ERN NEW ENGLAND...
THREAT FOR A SMALL AMOUNT OF EMBEDDED LIGHTNING WILL REMAIN ACROSS
ERN NEW ENGLAND AS MAIN SURFACE LOW OVER SERN NEW ENGLAND -- AND
ASSOCIATED/SMALL-SCALE VORT MAX -- MOVES NWD ACROSS THIS REGION. 
HAVE NUDGED THUNDER AREA A BIT FURTHER WWD THIS FORECAST ACROSS NRN
ME...AS SREF OUTPUT SUPPORTIVE OF THIS ADJUSTMENT IS FURTHER
AUGMENTED BY CURRENT LOCATION OF UPPER VORT MAX AND SURFACE LOW --
BOTH SLIGHTLY W OF NAM FORECASTS ATTM.

..GOSS.. 11/22/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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