[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 18 19:45:04 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 181941
SWODY1
SPC AC 181940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CST FRI NOV 18 2005

VALID 182000Z - 191200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN UNITED STATES WILL
BE REINFORCED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE PLAINS STATES
TONIGHT. IN RESPONSE...A COLD FRONT WILL ORGANIZE AND MOVE SWD INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST TONIGHT. A SECOND FRONT OFF THE COAST OF FL WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY. NLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH SFC
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE SRN AND ERN US WILL KEEP THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
NEEDED FOR CONVECTION OFF THE SERN US COAST AND ACROSS FL. DUE TO
BROAD SCALE SUBSIDENCE IN PLACE IN THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ACROSS
FL...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE DAY 1 PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 11/18/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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