[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 4 16:35:37 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 041629
SWODY1
SPC AC 041627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1027 AM CST FRI NOV 04 2005

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE BLI 45 SSE SEA
25 SW PDX 10 ENE ONP 55 WSW ONP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...PAC NW COAST...
CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS ACCOMPANYING SURFACE COLD FRONT NOW
APPROACHING THE WA COAST.  AS ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH/-30C MID
LEVEL COLD POCKET SPREAD EWD INTO THE PAC NW...SHALLOW LAYER OF
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INTO COASTAL SECTIONS
WHERE MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN PREVALENT.

...MID WEST...
AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE DRY WITHIN BROAD SWLY FLOW EVIDENT OVER THE
MIDDLE PORTION OF THE U.S. THIS MORNING WITH PW/S AOB 0.75 INCHES
NORTH OF THE GULF COAST.  THOUGH DEEP ASCENT WILL INCREASE INTO THE
SRN GREAT LAKES OVERNIGHT WITHIN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF EJECTING
UPPER LEVEL JET...INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUITE WEAK. 
THEREFORE...THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
APPEARS TOO LOW THROUGH 12Z TO WARRANT MAINTAINING A GENERAL THUNDER
AREA.

..EVANS/JEWELL.. 11/04/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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